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US 10Y Treasury Yield Dự báo: Ngày mai, Tuần, Tháng, 5 Năm

Đã cập nhật: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -2.15%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Rates + macro

Tóm tắt dự báo

Khung thời gianGiá dự đoánQuá khứlịch sửCái nhìn thấu suốt
Ngày mai4.068% -0.54%Hôm qua4.180% +0.48%Tomorrow's US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) setup is anchored to 4.090% and targets 4.068% (-0.54%). The near-term read is downside; watch 4.143% / 4.037% because daily realized volatility is about 0.63%.
Tomorrow's US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) setup is anchored to 4.090% and targets 4.068% (-0.54%). The near-term read is downside; watch 4.143% / 4.037% because daily realized volatility is about 0.63%.
Tuần4.035% -1.34%Tuần trước4.280% +0.94%The 7-day US 10Y Treasury Yield model moves from 4.280% to 4.035% (-1.34%). It gives downside momentum context for this bond yield, so breaks around 4.143% / 4.037% matter more than a single tick.
The 7-day US 10Y Treasury Yield model moves from 4.280% to 4.035% (-1.34%). It gives downside momentum context for this bond yield, so breaks around 4.143% / 4.037% matter more than a single tick.
Tháng4.019% -1.73%Tháng trước4.140% 0.00%The 1-month US 10Y Treasury Yield target is 4.019% (-1.73%), compared with the live reference near 4.090%. This horizon blends current trend pressure with yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.
The 1-month US 10Y Treasury Yield target is 4.019% (-1.73%), compared with the live reference near 4.090%. This horizon blends current trend pressure with yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.
Năm4.056% -0.82%Năm ngoái4.490% +4.91%The 1-year US 10Y Treasury Yield scenario points to 4.056% (-0.82%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
The 1-year US 10Y Treasury Yield scenario points to 4.056% (-0.82%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 Năm4.038% -1.26%5 năm trước4.280% -4.68%The 5-year US 10Y Treasury Yield view is 4.038% (-1.26%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
The 5-year US 10Y Treasury Yield view is 4.038% (-1.26%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Ngày mai4.068% -0.54%
Hôm qua4.180% +0.48%
Tomorrow's US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) setup is anchored to 4.090% and targets 4.068% (-0.54%). The near-term read is downside; watch 4.143% / 4.037% because daily realized volatility is about 0.63%.
Tuần4.035% -1.34%
Tuần trước4.280% +0.94%
The 7-day US 10Y Treasury Yield model moves from 4.280% to 4.035% (-1.34%). It gives downside momentum context for this bond yield, so breaks around 4.143% / 4.037% matter more than a single tick.
Tháng4.019% -1.73%
Tháng trước4.140% 0.00%
The 1-month US 10Y Treasury Yield target is 4.019% (-1.73%), compared with the live reference near 4.090%. This horizon blends current trend pressure with yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.
Năm4.056% -0.82%
Năm ngoái4.490% +4.91%
The 1-year US 10Y Treasury Yield scenario points to 4.056% (-0.82%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 Năm4.038% -1.26%
5 năm trước4.280% -4.68%
The 5-year US 10Y Treasury Yield view is 4.038% (-1.26%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Biểu đồ giá

lịch sửDự báoTăng giáGiảm giá
4.220%4.154%4.088%4.022%3.956%1W AgoNow7D F

Phân tích kỹ thuật

BánTrung lậpMua
Bearish
1
Tăng giá
0
Trung lập
4
Giảm giá

Các chỉ số chính

Chỉ sốGiá trịTín hiệu
RSI 1431.6 Bearish
MACD0.07 Bullish
SMA 504.185% Below
SMA 2004.233% Below
EMA 204.182% Below

Dữ liệu lịch sử

Open4.180%
Start Date
Day Range4.090% – 4.300%
Market Cap
Monthly Range4.090% – 4.300%
24h Volume
90D Range3.970% – 4.300%
Circulating
52W Range3.970% – 4.620%
Max Supply
Open4.180%Start Date
Day Range4.090% – 4.300%Market Cap
Monthly Range4.090% – 4.300%24h Volume
90D Range3.970% – 4.300%Circulating
52W Range3.970% – 4.620%Max Supply

Mức hỗ trợ và kháng cự

4.250%R3 — upper range
4.189%R2 — swing high
4.143%R1 — near-term cap
4.090%Giá hiện tạiUS10Y
4.037%S1 — short-term supportSupport
3.991%S2 — trend support
3.930%S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 4.143%; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 4.037%; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.85%.

Các cột mốc giá

Các cấp độ chính và bối cảnh lịch sử
Recent4.090%Current
Current reference level.
90D High4.300%Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low3.970%Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Dự báo chính xác

Mô hình của chúng tôi đã hoạt động như thế nào
74%
định hướng
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Thuật toán của chúng tôi được hiệu chỉnh lại hàng tuần bằng cách sử dụng hành động giá, chế độ biến động và tín hiệu chỉ báo mới nhất. Độ chính xác thay đổi theo khung thời gian - động lượng ngắn hạn đáng tin cậy hơn các dự đoán dài hạn.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Kịch bản đầu tư

Nếu bạn đầu tư $1,000 vào US10Y ngay hôm nay
Bullish Case
$1,170.29
+17.03% from current
Giá mục tiêu4.786%
Kịch bảnBreakout continuation
Xác suất25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Giá mục tiêu4.254%
Kịch bảnTrend-following baseline
Xác suất50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Giá mục tiêu3.599%
Kịch bảnVolatility drawdown
Xác suất25%
cơ sở: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.04% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.85% daily).

Các yếu tố dự báo

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 45/100
24H drift-0.54%
7D drift-1.34%
30D drift-1.73%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 37/100
RSI31.7 · Bearish
MACD0.08 · Bullish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 47/100
1M outlook-1.73%
1Y outlook-0.82%
5Y outlook-1.26%

Câu hỏi thường gặp

Q What is the US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) forecast for tomorrow?
Using the latest BeCoin market snapshot (February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC), US 10Y Treasury Yield is projected near 4.068% versus the current reference around 4.090%. That implies a modeled move of -0.54% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day bond yield outlook suggest for US10Y?
The weekly US 10Y Treasury Yield model points to 4.035%, which maps to an expected drift of -1.34% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so support/resistance breaks can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the US 10Y Treasury Yield 1-month and 1-year targets?
The US 10Y Treasury Yield 1-month target is 4.019% (-1.73%), while the 1-year target is 4.056% (-0.82%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions shaped by yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.
Q Why does the US 10Y Treasury Yield 5-year scenario differ from short-term rows?
The US 10Y Treasury Yield long-horizon scenario sits near 4.038% with a modeled change of -1.26%. It compounds cycle-continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are US10Y support and resistance zones right now?
For US 10Y Treasury Yield, nearest resistance is around 4.143%, while nearest support is around 4.037%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh is the US 10Y Treasury Yield market snapshot?
The displayed bond yield snapshot is labeled February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC; the latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the market feed so the FAQ, milestones, and support/resistance context stay tied to the same data refresh.

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