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CBOE Volatility Index 예측: 내일, 주간, 월간, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +6.16%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

예측 요약

기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일$21.27 +0.34%어제$20.60 -1.06%Tomorrow's CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) setup is anchored to $21.20 and targets $21.27 (+0.34%). The near-term read is upside; watch $23.98 / $18.42 because daily realized volatility is about 3.68%.
Tomorrow's CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) setup is anchored to $21.20 and targets $21.27 (+0.34%). The near-term read is upside; watch $23.98 / $18.42 because daily realized volatility is about 3.68%.
주간$21.41 +1.01%지난주$21.77 +33.15%The 7-day CBOE Volatility Index model moves from $21.77 to $21.41 (+1.01%). It gives upside momentum context for this index, so breaks around $23.98 / $18.42 matter more than a single tick.
The 7-day CBOE Volatility Index model moves from $21.77 to $21.41 (+1.01%). It gives upside momentum context for this index, so breaks around $23.98 / $18.42 matter more than a single tick.
월간$22.55 +6.37%지난달$14.51 -41.23%The 1-month CBOE Volatility Index target is $22.55 (+6.37%), compared with the live reference near $21.20. This horizon blends current trend pressure with market breadth, risk appetite, and index-level volatility.
The 1-month CBOE Volatility Index target is $22.55 (+6.37%), compared with the live reference near $21.20. This horizon blends current trend pressure with market breadth, risk appetite, and index-level volatility.
연간$23.28 +9.80%지난해$15.10 +8.40%The 1-year CBOE Volatility Index scenario points to $23.28 (+9.80%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
The 1-year CBOE Volatility Index scenario points to $23.28 (+9.80%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5년$24.58 +15.95%5년 전$21.46 +42.12%The 5-year CBOE Volatility Index view is $24.58 (+15.95%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
The 5-year CBOE Volatility Index view is $24.58 (+15.95%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
내일$21.27 +0.34%
어제$20.60 -1.06%
Tomorrow's CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) setup is anchored to $21.20 and targets $21.27 (+0.34%). The near-term read is upside; watch $23.98 / $18.42 because daily realized volatility is about 3.68%.
주간$21.41 +1.01%
지난주$21.77 +33.15%
The 7-day CBOE Volatility Index model moves from $21.77 to $21.41 (+1.01%). It gives upside momentum context for this index, so breaks around $23.98 / $18.42 matter more than a single tick.
월간$22.55 +6.37%
지난달$14.51 -41.23%
The 1-month CBOE Volatility Index target is $22.55 (+6.37%), compared with the live reference near $21.20. This horizon blends current trend pressure with market breadth, risk appetite, and index-level volatility.
연간$23.28 +9.80%
지난해$15.10 +8.40%
The 1-year CBOE Volatility Index scenario points to $23.28 (+9.80%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5년$24.58 +15.95%
5년 전$21.46 +42.12%
The 5-year CBOE Volatility Index view is $24.58 (+15.95%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
$25.64$23.53$21.41$19.30$17.181W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bullish
4
강세
0
중립적
1
약세

주요 지표

지시자신호
RSI 1464.7 Bullish
MACD0.42 Bullish
SMA 50$16.47 Above
SMA 200$17.41 Above
EMA 20$22.90 Below

과거 데이터

Open$20.73
Start Date
Day Range$20.37 – $21.62
Market Cap
Monthly Range$14.49 – $21.77
24h Volume
90D Range$13.47 – $26.42
Circulating
52W Range$13.47 – $52.33
Max Supply
Open$20.73Start Date
Day Range$20.37 – $21.62Market Cap
Monthly Range$14.49 – $21.7724h Volume
90D Range$13.47 – $26.42Circulating
52W Range$13.47 – $52.33Max Supply

지지 및 저항 수준

$29.54R3 — upper range
$26.37R2 — swing high
$23.98R1 — near-term cap
$21.20현재 가격VIX
$18.42S1 — short-term supportSupport
$16.03S2 — trend support
$12.86S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is $23.98; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near $18.42; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 8.52%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent$21.20Current
Current reference level.
90D High$26.42Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$13.47Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
76%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Higher volatility regime detected; short-term directional confidence is reduced.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
80%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
77%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
74%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
69%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 VIX에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1,295.68
+29.57% from current
목표가격$27.47
대본Breakout continuation
개연성25%
Base Case
$1,098.03
+9.80% from current
목표가격$23.28
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성50%
Bearish Case
$659.24
-34.08% from current
목표가격$13.98
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성25%
기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+1.62% / 30D) and volatility regime (8.52% daily).

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 59/100
24H drift+0.34%
7D drift+1.01%
30D drift+6.37%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 84/100
RSI64.6 · Bullish
MACD0.41 · Bullish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 60/100
1M outlook+6.37%
1Y outlook+9.80%
5Y outlook+15.95%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) forecast for tomorrow?
Using the latest BeCoin market snapshot (February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC), CBOE Volatility Index is projected near $21.27 versus the current reference around $21.20. That implies a modeled move of +0.34% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day index outlook suggest for VIX?
The weekly CBOE Volatility Index model points to $21.41, which maps to an expected drift of +1.01% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so support/resistance breaks can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the CBOE Volatility Index 1-month and 1-year targets?
The CBOE Volatility Index 1-month target is $22.55 (+6.37%), while the 1-year target is $23.28 (+9.80%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions shaped by market breadth, risk appetite, and index-level volatility.
Q Why does the CBOE Volatility Index 5-year scenario differ from short-term rows?
The CBOE Volatility Index long-horizon scenario sits near $24.58 with a modeled change of +15.95%. It compounds cycle-continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are VIX support and resistance zones right now?
For CBOE Volatility Index, nearest resistance is around $23.98, while nearest support is around $18.42. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh is the CBOE Volatility Index market snapshot?
The displayed index snapshot is labeled February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC; the latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the market feed so the FAQ, milestones, and support/resistance context stay tied to the same data refresh.

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