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USD/PEN 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5 年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -6.54%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日3.3287 -0.53%昨日3.3530 -0.03%Tomorrow's USD/PEN (USD) setup is anchored to 3.3463 and targets 3.3287 (-0.53%). The near-term read is downside; watch 3.4179 / 3.2747 because daily realized volatility is about 1.33%.
Tomorrow's USD/PEN (USD) setup is anchored to 3.3463 and targets 3.3287 (-0.53%). The near-term read is downside; watch 3.4179 / 3.2747 because daily realized volatility is about 1.33%.
3.2978 -1.45%先週3.2922 +0.35%The 7-day USD/PEN model moves from 3.2922 to 3.2978 (-1.45%). It gives downside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 3.4179 / 3.2747 matter more than a single tick.
The 7-day USD/PEN model moves from 3.2922 to 3.2978 (-1.45%). It gives downside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 3.4179 / 3.2747 matter more than a single tick.
3.2229 -3.69%先月3.2953 -2.48%The 1-month USD/PEN target is 3.2229 (-3.69%), compared with the live reference near 3.3463. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
The 1-month USD/PEN target is 3.2229 (-3.69%), compared with the live reference near 3.3463. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
3.2623 -2.51%昨年3.6830 -2.28%The 1-year USD/PEN scenario points to 3.2623 (-2.51%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
The 1-year USD/PEN scenario points to 3.2623 (-2.51%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 年3.2159 -3.90%5 年前3.6250 -1.57%The 5-year USD/PEN view is 3.2159 (-3.90%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
The 5-year USD/PEN view is 3.2159 (-3.90%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
明日3.3287 -0.53%
昨日3.3530 -0.03%
Tomorrow's USD/PEN (USD) setup is anchored to 3.3463 and targets 3.3287 (-0.53%). The near-term read is downside; watch 3.4179 / 3.2747 because daily realized volatility is about 1.33%.
3.2978 -1.45%
先週3.2922 +0.35%
The 7-day USD/PEN model moves from 3.2922 to 3.2978 (-1.45%). It gives downside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 3.4179 / 3.2747 matter more than a single tick.
3.2229 -3.69%
先月3.2953 -2.48%
The 1-month USD/PEN target is 3.2229 (-3.69%), compared with the live reference near 3.3463. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
3.2623 -2.51%
昨年3.6830 -2.28%
The 1-year USD/PEN scenario points to 3.2623 (-2.51%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 年3.2159 -3.90%
5 年前3.6250 -1.57%
The 5-year USD/PEN view is 3.2159 (-3.90%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
3.42443.36623.30803.24973.19151W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Neutral
2
強気
1
中性
2
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1456.1 Bullish
MACD-0.03 Neutral
SMA 503.3333 Above
SMA 2003.4480 Below
EMA 203.6467 Below

過去のデータ

Open3.3508
Start Date
Day Range3.3452 – 3.3527
Market Cap
Monthly Range3.2614 – 3.3650
24h Volume
90D Range3.2614 – 3.4200
Circulating
52W Range3.2614 – 3.7610
Max Supply
Open3.3508Start Date
Day Range3.3452 – 3.3527Market Cap
Monthly Range3.2614 – 3.365024h Volume
90D Range3.2614 – 3.4200Circulating
52W Range3.2614 – 3.7610Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

3.5612R3 — upper range
3.4793R2 — swing high
3.4179R1 — near-term cap
3.3463現在価格USD
3.2747S1 — short-term supportSupport
3.2133S2 — trend support
3.1314S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 3.4179; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 3.2747; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 1.39%.

価格の節目

主要水準と過去の文脈
Recent3.3463Current
Current reference level.
90D High3.4200Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low3.2614Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

モデルの実績
73%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ環境、指標シグナルを使って毎週再調整されます。精度は時間軸によって異なり、短期のモメンタムは長期予測より信頼度が高くなります。
Tomorrow
77%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
74%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
71%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
66%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を USD に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,150.39
+15.04% from current
目標価格3.8495
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
目標価格3.4802
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$866.81
-13.32% from current
目標価格2.9006
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.06% / 30D) and volatility regime (1.39% daily).

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 43/100
24H drift-0.53%
7D drift-1.45%
30D drift-3.69%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 31/100
RSI56.2 · Neutral
MACD-0.02 · Bearish
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 44/100
1M outlook-3.69%
1Y outlook-2.51%
5Y outlook-3.90%

よくある質問

Q What is the USD/PEN (USD) forecast for tomorrow?
Using the latest BeCoin market snapshot (February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC), USD/PEN is projected near 3.3287 versus the current reference around 3.3463. That implies a modeled move of -0.53% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day forex pair outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly USD/PEN model points to 3.2978, which maps to an expected drift of -1.45% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so support/resistance breaks can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the USD/PEN 1-month and 1-year targets?
The USD/PEN 1-month target is 3.2229 (-3.69%), while the 1-year target is 3.2623 (-2.51%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions shaped by rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
Q Why does the USD/PEN 5-year scenario differ from short-term rows?
The USD/PEN long-horizon scenario sits near 3.2159 with a modeled change of -3.90%. It compounds cycle-continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are USD support and resistance zones right now?
For USD/PEN, nearest resistance is around 3.4179, while nearest support is around 3.2747. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh is the USD/PEN market snapshot?
The displayed forex pair snapshot is labeled February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC; the latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the market feed so the FAQ, milestones, and support/resistance context stay tied to the same data refresh.