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US 2Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

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▼ -1.42%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Rates + macro

Forecast Summary

Timeframe	Predicted Price	Past	Historical	Insight
Tomorrow	3.434% ▼ -1.04%	Yesterday	3.520% ▲ +2.03%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
Week	3.377% ▼ -2.69%	Last Week	3.570% ▼ -0.83%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month	3.281% ▼ -5.43%	Last Month	3.450% ▼ -4.70%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year	3.334% ▼ -3.92%	Last Year	4.290% ▼ -6.74%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years	3.261% ▼ -6.02%	5 Years Ago	4.600% ▲ +7.23%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Tomorrow3.434%▼ -1.04%

Yesterday3.520%▲ +2.03%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).

Week3.377%▼ -2.69%

Last Week3.570%▼ -0.83%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Month3.281%▼ -5.43%

Last Month3.450%▼ -4.70%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Year3.334%▼ -3.92%

Last Year4.290%▼ -6.74%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Years3.261%▼ -6.02%

5 Years Ago4.600%▲ +7.23%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish

Technical Analysis

Bearish

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Key Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI 14	36.7	Bearish
MACD	-0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	3.442%	Above
SMA 200	3.666%	Below
EMA 20	3.646%	Below

Historical Data

Opening Price3.520%

Start Date2021-04-04

Day Range3.423% – 3.568%

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range3.198% – 3.557%

24h Volumen/a

90D Range3.171% – 3.690%

Circulatingn/a

52W Range3.187% – 4.479%

Max Supplyn/a

Opening Price	3.520%	Start Date	2021-04-04
Day Range	3.423% – 3.568%	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	3.198% – 3.557%	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	3.171% – 3.690%	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	3.187% – 4.479%	Max Supply	n/a

Support & Resistance Levels

3.645%R3 — major ceiling

3.592%R2 — swing resistance

3.540%R1 — near-term resistance

3.470%Current PriceUS2Y

3.400%S1 — near-term supportSupport

3.348%S2 — structure support

3.295%S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 3.540%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 3.400%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 2.10% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context

Recent3.470%Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High3.568%Local High+2.83%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low3.423%Local Low-1.37%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target3.281%Model 1M-5.45%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target3.334%Model 1Y-3.92%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario3.261%Model 5Y-6.02%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed

82%

Directional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (2.10% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.

Tomorrow

85%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

83%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

80%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

75%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±3.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Signal

Recent

Directional signal ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in US2Y today

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Target Price3.886%

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probability32%

Base Case

$945.53

-5.45% from current

Target Price3.281%

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probability37%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Target Price3.192%

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probability31%

Basis: Scenario model combines current 30-day drift (-5.43%) and realized daily volatility (2.10%).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how US2Y moves with other assets

	US2Y	DE10Y	US10Y	US30Y	UK10Y
US2Y	1.00	0.84	0.65	-0.45	0.32
DE10Y	0.84	1.00	0.17	-0.77	0.75
US10Y	0.65	0.17	1.00	0.32	-0.39
US30Y	-0.45	-0.77	0.32	1.00	-0.71
UK10Y	0.32	0.75	-0.39	-0.71	1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 38/100

24H drift-1.04%

7D drift-2.69%

30D drift-5.43%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 31/100

RSI36.9 · Bearish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack1/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 41/100

1M outlook-5.43%

1Y outlook-3.92%

5Y outlook-6.02%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the US 2Y Treasury Yield forecast for tomorrow?

US 2Y Treasury Yield is projected near 3.434% versus the latest reference around 3.470%. That implies a modeled move of -1.04% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US 2Y Treasury Yield?

The weekly model points to 3.377%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.69% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 3.281% (-5.43%), while the 1-year target is 3.334% (-3.92%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.261% with a modeled change of -6.02%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 3.540%, while nearest support is around 3.400%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 3.423% to 3.568%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

US 2Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Forecast Summary

Price Chart

Technical Analysis

Key Indicators

Historical Data

Support & Resistance Levels

Price Milestones

Forecast Accuracy

Investment Scenarios

Correlation Matrix

Forecast Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

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